Tag Amazon Kindle

I Need A Job, So I Want To Be A Paperback Writer

Over the last week or two there has been a veritable plethora of stories about people becoming overnight millionaires by “self-publishing” their novels as e-books via Amazon’s Kindle Store. This MetaFilter post was the first one I saw, telling the tale of a young woman named Amanda Hocking, who has been blogging about her experience putting her vampire novels on Amazon and the subsequent huge number of sales she started getting — over 100,000 copies in a single month by one account — and even with Amazon taking a 30% cut of the $2.99 price, that’s still a lot of money compared to what someone might get as a standard deal from a traditional publisher.

Next, media blogger Simon Owens writes about a mystery novelist named Blake Crouch, who also self-publishes via e-book to the tune of $10,000 a month in sales, and how even established authors are beginning to walk away from book deals from publishing houses in favor of doing it themselves.

Then there’s this guy, whose story is similar, except he sells his e-books for only 99 cents (the lowest price Amazon allows) and STILL rakes it in hand over fist. This despite the conventional wisdom (as expressed by a couple of people in Owens’ article) that $2.99 is the only price point that makes any money.

Well, it’s not all quite so simple. Skimming through Hocking’s blog, you can learn quite a bit about the challenges that come with putting together your self-published book. One of the biggest challenges is not having the guiding hand of a professional editor to help work out the kinks of one’s prose; the commenters on MetaFilter who actually read some of Hocking’s stuff point out some simply horrible writing (although her particular genre of fiction isn’t especially known for its high literary value). Plus, even e-books need the mechanics of proof-editing, have some unique requirements in terms of layout and type, and a good cover to help sell the book.

Nevertheless, the instant accessibility to one’s audience, the increasing popularity of e-books as a whole, and the immense power of network effects online seem to be the perfect storm of conditions to put authors more in charge of their own destinies than ever before and to be the unstoppable force that demolishes the publishing industry.

The sad part is, in my opinion, that the end game is already visible. Not only will established authors start moving to this powerful outlet, so will every single money-grubbing bloodsucker who thought they were going to cash in with their SEO blogs, content farms, and other parasitic web schemes. Once people figure out that they can generate even a small amount of sales, they’ll be all over it like stink on an ape, and it will become a race to the bottom faster than you can say “electronic self-publishing”. It’s exactly what happened with the iPhone App Store: anybody who could cobble together a shitty little app did so and threw it up on the App Store for 99 cents, figuring even if they only sold a few thousand downloads they made some money for very little effort. And don’t kid yourself, if people can write stupid iFart apps in an afternoon, they can crank out abysmal novels just as quickly.

Every time one of these Internet gold rushes pops up, I think to myself, “Man, I could totally do that” and then never do the slightest thing about it. So I guess the moral to the story is “get in while the getting is good”.

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You Just Need Longer Arms

kindle21

So, word is that this week Amazon is bringing out a new revision of the redesigned Kindle 2 that features a much larger LCD screen. (The photo at the top of the post is the Kindle 2 as it was originally introduced a couple of months ago)

I hadn’t thought of it before, but this Mental Floss post by link-blogger Miss Cellania points out that half of all Kindle sales are to people over the age of 50, and 70% are to people over the age of 40. Not exactly the demographic one might initially expect for the “e-book”. But she also gives a very plausible explanation for why: adjustable font sizes. The Kindle supports six type sizes, which makes it a breeze for people with aging eyes to adjust the print to whatever level they need to be able to read it comfortably.

But what about large-type books, you ask? That’s the other half of this argument. Large-type books, when they are even available for new titles, by necessity make for more pages and thus heavier and more cumbersome books. But the lightness and overall small form factor of the Kindle alleviates the aggravation of carrying around a great big book when you just want to read a little, not to mention the ability to store a number of books.

As it turns out, I know three people who own Kindles, and sure enough, all of them are over the age of 50. One is over the age of 80. They’re also all women, and I wonder if anyone has looked at gender breakdown in Kindle ownership yet, but for the moment we’ll consider that an unknown quantity. I know they all love their Kindles, but I haven’t heard or read any of them mention the eyesight issue; it may be that they’re not consciously basing their approval on that feature, or it may be that it really isn’t salient for them. My 84-year-old friend also stares at her computer screen using 9 and 10-point fonts all day and doesn’t seem to mind the tiny type. Nevertheless, it’s kind of hard to dismiss the eyesight factor when the demos skew so high to an older audience.

I’ll suggest another reason the Kindle appeals to older users: it’s a single-purpose device. Even though it’s very cool and hip and supposedly represents the beginning of the end of printed books, the Kindle is still just a book reader. (Oh, okay, you got me, it also displays newspapers, magazines, and some blogs, but still all you do with it is READ) My experience teaching older people how to use their computers has made it pretty clear to me that one of the things that flummoxes them about using computers is that they do too damn much. The technological mindset of people whose adulthood predates the computer age in a significant way revolves around gadgets and inventions that do one thing. My clients don’t want to learn how to do a lot of different things on their computers, they want to know how to do one task and to hell with the rest of it. The Kindle reassures people that technology can be safely marshalled into a single comprehensible task.

Don’t believe me? The same argument is frequently made about cell phones — even I prefer a cell phone that is just a phone to one that also has a camera, shows video, sends text messages, and plays MP3s. And how many VCRs never got used for anything but playback because it was too damn complicated to figure out how to record with one, or even how to set the clock? The elderly people I work with were middle-aged when the VCR landed in their laps, so they’re not unfamiliar with technology, they just prefer to do one thing at a time.

The larger screen on the Kindle 2 will increase the appeal to older consumers even more. More real estate means more words per page, even with bigger type sizes. Meanwhile, another feature addition – color – does not appear to have the same value. Last year, Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos said he would “love to add color” to the Kindle, and last month Fujitsu brought out the first color e-book, but the $1300 price point on that reader can’t compete with the $299 price of the Kindle, which a lot of people think is too expensive as it is. Moreover, it’s hard to see the value in a color display if the primary purpose of the device is to render black text on a white background. Bringing color to the Kindle might very well signal a transformation of the device away from its single-purpose strong point into becoming a variation on the recently popular “netbook” PCs, which would almost assuredly chase away the people who have fallen in love with the device for what it is.

Right after the Kindle 2 came out in February, Amazon also quickly dispatched a Kindle book-reading app for the iPhone. The release caught people a bit by surprise, and even moreso when the app turned out to be a free download, but as the review at that link explains, the iPhone is no Kindle. The iPhone is much smaller than the Kindle overall, but especially in the screen dimensions. I downloaded the Kindle app when it came out and also bought a download of Richard Dawkins’ “The God Delusion” to try it out. On my iPod Touch, the screen size is so small that it repaginates the book into over 7000 pages (as compared to 416 pages in the hardcover edition). That’s a lot of page-flipping on my iTouch. The Kindle device renders the same number of pages as the hardcover. The Kindle may not let me check Facebook, play YouTube videos, or make pretend fart noises, but it does do a better job of simulating the book reading experience. Technology writer and prognosticator Steven Johnson recently wrote a piece in the Wall Street Journal speculating that the Kindle was the beginning of the end of reading as a solitary pastime. Part of his core argument is that the impulse-buy factor of owning a Kindle (a very real current phenomenon among Kindle owners) and the features available through Google’s Book Search, combined with the ubiquitous online presence of an iPhone will represent a “singularity” where anyone can look up and read anything anywhere at any time.

We will dismiss some of this as the breathless utopianism that futurists, technophiles, and web people frequently engage in. The pitfalls of DRM, the struggles of net neutrality, the uphill battle for municipal free WiFi, and a host of other economic interests will unquestionably prevent elements of Johnson’s vision from ever becoming a reality. Besides that, though, Johnson also engages in that peculiar delusion among people who are infatuated with gadgets that everybody WANTS a gadget that does everything:

But Amazon has already released a version of the Kindle software for reading its e-books on an iPhone, which is much more conducive to all manner of distraction. No doubt future iterations of the Kindle and other e-book readers will make it just as easy to jump online to check your 401(k) performance as it is now to buy a copy of “On Beauty.”

No thanks. I don’t WANT to check my stock portfolio, sports scores, headlines, AND read Baudelaire all on a tiny pocket-sized device. And, conversely, I don’t want to carry around something as big as a Kindle when I *do* want to check e-mail, find a cab, or play a quick game of Tetris in the doctor’s waiting room. This is why tablet PCs have been consistently unpopular and why netbooks are still only a hit among the geek crowd. The multitasking/convergence device crowd needs to take a breath and realize that they have to wait until the current over-40 crowd (basically the ass-end of the Baby Boom generation) is thoroughly kaput before these sort of profound cultural changes can be realized through technology, and by then all the oil will be gone and no one will be able to buy them anyway.

What does seem clear is that the Kindle did absolutely break the barrier that had destroyed every single e-book device before it. I still can’t explain that, because there were several e-book readers prior to Kindle that were technically and aesthetically superior, but if you throw enough shit against a wall, eventually some of it will start to stick. At this particuar juncture, though, I’d pay a lot less attention to people like Steven Johnson and a lot more attention to people like my 84-year-old friend who loves her first-gen Kindle to decide what the near-term prospects for e-books and reading might be.

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Not Kindling After All

So, the story making the rounds on the tech and gadget websites is that real sales figures for the Amazon Kindle e-book have finally surfaced and the total is 240,000 units. To put that into some sort of context, Apple sold almost 11,000,000 iPods just in March of this year. So there’s no imminent danger of the Kindle becoming the must-have gadget any time soon, but the sales figures are pretty much in line with what “The Experts” said. “The Experts” also expect sales to double or triple over the next four quarters. Combined with the sales of the e-books themselves (Amazon says they now have 145,000 titles available), the Kindle represents a billion-dollar-a-year revenue stream. That’s decent, though probably not as earth-shattering as some of the early pronouncements.

One blogging buddy of mine simply adores her Kindle and credits it with re-energizing her reading habit, and another blogger I regularly read is similarly ga-ga about his. Even one of the little old ladies I do tech support for is talking about buying one, so it’s clear that Amazon has managed to capture interest in an e-book reader far beyond the futile efforts of earlier e-book devices. I still can’t envision wanting one myself, though. I’ve never been one to tote a book along wherever I go, and remain content with paper books at home.

Unless…blogger and magazine editor Rex Hammock, who likes his Kindle (but with some reservations), mentions the 500-pound gorilla of gizmos in this post from May: could the Kindle survive at all if Apple decided to make an e-book reader as an extension of their iPhone product? The current form factor of the iPhone is too small to work well for in-depth reading, but if they made it a bit bigger it would be adequate. And if the device had the ability to do everything the iPod Touch (the phone-less iPhone) does PLUS e-books, it would be a formidable gadget indeed.

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Look, Listen, But Don’t Share

Speaking to analysts yesterday, Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos said that sales of the Kindle e-book reader are still outstripping their ability to fill orders (though he wouldn’t actually say HOW MANY orders there were).  Also this week, Amazon announced that it was acquiring audiobook company AudibleCory Doctorow points out that Amazon says they don’t plan to drop DRM from Audible products unless/until they begin to receive a lot of customer complaints.  Their e-books also come with a DRM scheme that makes it exceptionally difficult to do things like lend your e-book to a friend.  And yet, Amazon has been very loudly trumpeting the discontinuation of DRM on their MP3 downloads.

Media blogger Rex Hammock had quite a few things to say about Audible, Kindle, and Amazon yesterday, including the complaint that Macintosh support for the Kindle is virtually non-existent.  Given that Amazon is now going head-to-head with Apple in the content business, that was probably to be expected, as it was de rigeur among PC device makers for years to avoid Mac compatibility so as not to piss off Uncle Bill.

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Assorted Follow-Ups

Here’s a handful of follow-up items, none of which really deserved their own post but which I wanted to mention:

1. Pomegranate 7Up — the Market Basket supermarket in our town has had it, so I bought a bottle to sample over Thanksgiving. It’s pretty good, with a more pronounced fruit flavor than the Polar Soda pomegranate product. Unfortunately for me, it does not come in a sugar-free version, so I won’t be making a regular habit of drinking it. Meanwhile, I am totally ga-ga for Sierra Mist Free Cranberry Splash, which is another “limited edition” soda and is sugar-free (there’s also a sugared version if you’re not a diet soda drinker).

2. The OLPC XO laptop “Give One, Get One” program has been very successful and they have extended the program up to the end of December. Meanwhile, some Nigerian con-artist is suing OLPC, saying they stole “his” keyboard design, and some countries that were considering taking the laptops now seem to be backing away from the deal. It would be not a little ironic and actually a bit tragic if the XO becomes a success among the trendy techno-rich in America, but never reaches its real intended audience.

3. Personal Tasers — since I posted this a few weeks ago, there have been numerous stories about police officers tasering people left, right and sideways for often very spurious reasons such as double parking, refusing to sign a speeding ticket, and not being able to speak English. Meanwhile, the United Nations has issued a report which concludes that use of tasers is equivalent to torture. Of course, that will probably only serve to make them more popular, since we seem to be a nation of sadists.

4. While the Kindle continues to generate interest, looks like the Chumby isn’t getting any lovin’ at all. Engadget has done due diligence with its coverage in a couple of different reviews, but other wise I haven’t heard or seen anything about it, particularly in the mainstream media. That’s the way the cookie crumbles, I guess.

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Kindle: Yes, No, Maybe

Amazon’s Kindle is still getting a lot of attention online, both good and bad.

Tech guru Robert Scoble is very, very unhappy with his Kindle and posted a video chewing Jeff Bezos a new one. He’d like to see some services added like the ability to buy a book for a friend and send it to their Kindle from his own (clever idea, really, and very surprising Amazon didn’t think of that), but for the most part he just thinks the whole thing is a non-starter.

Meanwhile, industry columnist Mike Elgan writes a much more favorable review, which is reprinted here in Macworld Online. He’s not focusing on the UI experience nearly as much as Scoble, and sees the total package of the Kindle as a “revolutionary device” for its combination of features. This is unquestionably the most positive article I’ve read about the Kindle so far.

Ars Technica’s review is much more even-handed than either of the other two articles, finding things to like a lot about the device as an e-book reader, but coming to the conclusion that it is a poor fit for reading online content, which is the very feature set that is supposed to set the Kindle apart from the Sony Reader and other previous e-book devices.

As so many other people have pointed out, there’s nothing the Kindle does that the iPhone/iTouch can’t do, and all it would take is for Steverino to decide to extend the iTouch to become the iReader by incorporating a bigger screen.

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Kindle Or Kindling?

Amazon Kindle e-book

The gadget sites are peeing all over themselves this morning about Amazon’s launch of their own e-book device, the “Kindle”.

Taking a note from the playbooks of Steve Jobs and Bill Gates, Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos bought himself the cover story of Newsweek to introduce the device as a bit of “newsvertising”. Plus the gadget site bloggers all got one to play with and feed the fanboy frenzy.

The scavenger-picked skeletons of previous e-book devices litter the electronic desert, and the iPhone/iTouch has already been declared the Big Deal of 2007, so personally I’m not really sure why they came out with this product right now. It’s not as though Sony were selling bajillions of their e-book reader and so somebody had to get in the game post haste. (Side note: I actually saw one of these in person for the first time last week, and the clarity of the E-Ink display was very nice, but I would still never buy one)

Blogger and all-around media-smart-guy Rex Hammock lays out exactly what he sees as the biggest weaknesses of the Kindle (which seem to boil down to “it’s not the iPhone”). Meanwhile, blogger and all-around media-smart-guy Seth Godin has his own complaints as the writer of books he’d like to sell. He invokes the Gillette Principle: give away the readers to get people hooked on them, THEN sell them the books. Given the repeated failure of e-book readers, this is probably good advice.

The only real market I see for e-book readers in the long term is as a text-book device. School departments and students alike would benefit from not having to buy expensive text books and deal with the issues that revolve around them — reselling used books, maintaining storage of books, being able to update editions without having to buy all new books, not to mention the drudgery of carrying 50 pounds of textbooks on your back all day. Amazon or sony or somebody could make a huge amount of traction by giving a reader to every student at a university or a middle school and providing their required texts for one year. Otherwise, this is just another Unloved Toy destined to waste away with the Charlie-in-the-Box and the Polka-dotted Elephant.

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